Les pensions méritent un débat et une concertation sérieuse


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297_ABSTRACT

Les pensions méritent un débat et une concertation sérieuse Carte Blanche publiée dans Le Soir du 18 9 2017 http://plus lesoir be/114642/article/2017-09- 18/carte-blanche-les-pensions-meritent-un-debat-et-une-concertation-serieuse (Nederlandse versie in De Standaard van pp 30-31) Ce texte est signé par les membres ‘Conseil Académique’ qui a été installé le gouvernement en succession de la ‘Commission Réforme des Pensions 2020-2040’: Bea Cantillon; Philippe Demol ; Pierre Devolder; Etienne Callataÿ; Jean Hindriks; Ria Janvier; Françoise Masai; Gabriel Perl; Erik Schokkaert; Yves Stevens; Frank Vandenbroucke; Elly Van Velde Il y trois ans Commission d’experts publié rapport consensuel sur l’avenir était notamment plaidé pour système à points confirme que c’est toujours l’agenda Dans 15 septembre patron FGTB Rudy Leeuw affirme qu’un tel « loterie » : fixera chaque année valeur point simplement fonction ses impératifs budgétaires ce n’est deux avant retraite l’on connaîtra date exacte laquelle on peut prendre sa pension L’Echo Jean-François Tamellini déclare selon experts totalement inutile très coûteux prévoit faire nous ne savons pas Nous revanche figure notre 2014 note commune avons envoyée au Conseil National juin ensemble avec Institutions cette il proposé tout axer partir maintenant réforme approfondie cohérente Cette devrait être mise œuvre 2025 mesures sont encore pipe-line doivent achevées mais seulement autant qu’elles soient contradiction objectifs finale Si possible mieux vaut alors reporter Pour surplus pendant 5 aucune initiative doit prise serait porte-à-faux philosophie ou nature compliquer transition Bien entendu cela signifie toute politique ‘gelée’ nécessaire cohérence Cela consigné nouveau contrat d’administration entre n’avons reçu réaction départ partenaires sociaux autorités déterminent ambition long terme qualité social garantir moyenne revenus professionnels moyens actifs soit durablement bon hélas assuré aujourd’hui Ensuite stipulerait mécanismes d’adaptation propres réaliser contexte sociale essentielle n’était clairement sortirait son chapeau contraire ! Non loi fixer façon précise tandis l’application confiée Comité où siègent fixerait autres conformément cadre légal C’était expliqué détail permet ailleurs pouvoir aisément intégrer pénibilité métiers depuis lors répété l’envi qu’il s’agit d’un mécanisme budgétaire veut même temps financièrement économiquement soutenable Une définitive restaurer sentiment sécurité confiance sein population Notre souligne expressément faut informer gens bien l’avance changements si requiert éventuellement modifications modalités calcul conditions d’accès celles-ci connues moins années La propose principe ‘prévisibilité politique’ inscrit Elle aussi puisse aucun cas diminuer clair vu comme intangible invitation développer base d’une question savoir veulent relever défi

Verantwoordelijkheid: niet alleen voor wie zwak staat

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294_ABSTRACT

BOEKESSAY Verantwoordelijkheid: niet alleen voor wie zwak staat Frank Vandenbroucke In zijn pas verschenen boek The Age of Responsibility Luck Choice and the Welfare State (2017) stelt Harvard-politicoloog Yascha Mounk de rol die ‘persoonlijke verantwoordelijk- heid’ gekregen heeft in debatten over sociaal beleid en samenleven vraag Hij pleit een fundamentele koerswijziging Als we wensen dat simplistische hardvoch- tige opvatting persoonlijke verantwoordelijkheid toenemende mate veld wint dan moeten bij discussies herverdeling zo weinig mogelijk beroep doen op oordelen Met dit beukt hij frontaal thema me voorbije 30 jaar sterk bezig gehouden Volgens maakten ook linkse denkers fout door ‘gelijkheid’ te verbinden met ‘verantwoordelijkheid’ Een uitgesproken voorbeeld van deze ‘verantwoordelijk- heidsgevoelige gelijkheidsfilosofie’ vind je politieke filosoof G A Cohen (1941-2009) evolueerde analytisch marxisme naar radicaal egalitarisme beïnvloed Linkse zoals hebben impasse gecreëerd volgens Mounk: om her- verdeling solidariteit blijven bepleiten verantwoordelijkheidsgevoelige denk- kader ze betoog ontwikkelen feitelijke mensen minimaliseert Maar het minimaliseren eigen is onge- loofwaardig haaks wat zelf denken aldus Dus kan beter stop- pen focus De verantwoordelijkheden toeschrijft aan moet afleiden visie rechtvaardige samenleving waarden daarin spelen (zoals: geen armoede onderdrukking gelijkheid status) vertrekpunt; komt orde gedrag sampol 2017/7|83 aantal verwachtingen vol- dergelijke stand houden Hiermee viseert maar groep filosofen waar- onder Ronald Dworkin John Roemer Ik schets daarom eerst argument koppelt ik voeg welke omstandigheden al verantwoordelijk acht pleidooi veronderstelt dus heldere scheidingslijn tussen verantwoor- delijkheid individu verantwoorde- lijkheid gemeenschap geef triviaal vader verdeelt erfenis twee zonen wel dezelfde opvoeding genoten erg verschillend oudste sober zuinig tevreden Streven per definitie verantwoordelijkheidsge- voelig anders komen absurde recepten uit Omgekeerd als individuele belangrijk vindt consequent solidair getroffen wordt omstandighe- den buiten wil er meteen enkele nuanceringen toe m i aanvaard kunnen worden verdedigen Daarna keer terug HET MAATSCHAPPELIJKE CON- TRACT Het uitgangspunt (dat uitgangspunt) hier neer: onrecht- vaardig ongelijkheden benadeeld ten opzichte andere eigenschappen omstan- digheden waarvoor Wie hiervan vertrekt – dacht denk nog steeds veel onrecht vaststellen: grote verschillen levensstandaard kansen ‘eigen lijkheid’ niets maken Nu kun kritische kijk zonder duidelijk kleine dingen des levens daar heel meer ‘geluk’ puren jongste elke dag champagne kaviaar nodig ge- lukkig netjes zal daarmee gelukkiger resultaat vorm ongelijkheid geluk toch twijfelt niemand eraan gelijkheidsbeginsel geval gerespecteerd Veronderstel nu wél consumptiegewoonten perfect gezond sinds geboorte verlamd allerlei hulpmateriaal erfe- nis gelijk vinden wellicht geschonden Waarom? Omdat afwijkingen qua smaak meestal zien fy- sieke ziet haast Dit illustreert ver- antwoordelijkheid elkaar 2017/7|84 verbonden verantwoordelijkheidsgevoelig (‘gelijkheid vereist geld geeft zoon behept dure smaak’) belang- rijk waar gaat steunt ethiek wederkerigheid Wederkerigheid houdt rijke verantwoordelijkheid: voelt verant- woordelijk helpen minder goed hun actieve houding iets vergt iederéén verhaal na- tuurlijk simplistisch ‘dure smaak’ slaat weegschaal waarop collectieve woordelijkheid gelegd helemaal verantwoordelijkheid; aangeboren handicap Kansen missen daardoor achterop geraken werkelijke wereld vaak moeilijk ontwarren combinatie zelden door; hoe afstelt beoordeelt mijn ogen maat- schappelijke conventie contract: metafysisch oordeel verantwoordelijkheid’ waarmee moeras vrije terechtkomt Sociaal toetsen gelijkheid’ complex omdat doorslaat Er bijkomende moeilijkheid: keuzes ouders mis- schien wilt kinderen omstandigheden; níét delijk Opgroeien recept mislukking school leven waartegen beschermen zélfs zou sommige gevallen deels geringe inkomen gezin samen- leving gelijke geven herbekijken omwille redenen waarom antwoordelijkheid’ enige ordenings- principe sa- menleving algemene verzekering tegen werkloosheid nuttig stabiliserend effect economisch ieders belang geobsedeerd moral hazard (misbruik afschuiven collectiviteit) werkloosheidsverzekering organiseren mist maatschappelijk doel Opdat minimum activering nodig; beantwoordt motief gelijkheid! Aandacht impli- ceert tenslotte meedogenloos bent menselijk falen Mensen één kans krijgen Sterker alle problemen geconfronteerd sociale vatten vanuit beginsel ‘gelijkheid Som- mige gevolgen degelijk 2017/7|85 dramatisch kwetsbaarheid eruit voortvloeit fundamenteel willen rechtzetten dienst spoedgevallen zwaargewonden binnenkrijgt zich bijvoorbeeld stellen verkeersreglement Die hoogstens ach- teraf financiële plaatje ongeval Hetzelfde geldt beslissin- gen domein men ‘hoe ben situatie geraakt’ afgewogen gewoon gebruikt aanvoelen heet rechtvaardigheid verschillende staan soms gespannen voet Dat filosofische reflectie a fortiori democratische deliberatie DE (PRE-)INSTITUTIONELE VISIE brengt hoger schetste beeld 1 klaagt zeer terecht concept ‘verantwoor- delijkheid’ jaren 1980 gereduceerd tot zelfredzaamheid ‘ver- jezelf ’ terwijl Sommige mededogen ‘De kwetsbaren beschermen’ ongeacht reden taak nemen positieve Kortom or- deningsprincipe maatschappelijke contract grondslag ligt rekening nadelige ‘externe effecten’ strikt afrekenen heid (denk stabiliserende impact werkloosheidsverze- keringen) En overwegingen kwets- baarheid status (de mogelijkheid iedereen burger blijven) Nog gezegd: nood rijkere invulling onze bekwaamheid anderen onderlijnt correct gevoel welmenend ‘links’ drijft politiek draagvlak krijgt overtuigt echter punten zijn: 1/ leiden genieten bescherming inferieure toekennen; 2/ (vermeende) diepe waarheden con- trole causaliteit los concrete instellingen 2017/7|86 Eerste punt Vermits verantwoordelijkheids- gevoelige slechts beschermt wanneer kennen toe: die- genen zichzelf zorgen ‘niet Deze kritiek leunt bekend artikel Amerikaanse filosofe Elizabeth Anderson 1999: zij schreef gelijkheidsfilosofie uiting ‘misprijzend medelijden’ eerder 2 vreemd argument: stel eens werkloosheids- uitkering hen job passend beoordelen (bijvoorbeeld economische crisis): impliceren nemen’? Helemaal Vanzelfsprekend rechts reduceert steun manifest plek arbeidsmarkt conjunc- tuur droevige eigenschap ‘bewijzen’ vooraleer recht uitkering: inderdaad stigmatise- rend werkers misprijzende manier omgaan cliënten uitleggen nadelig bepaalde daarvoor compensatie Tweede scherpst gelijkheidsdenken doodlopend spoor zit ‘feitelijke’ menselijke gebaseerd noties ‘controle’ ‘causaliteit’ toebedeeld basis verwachten Wat hangt af instituties vermeende controle (Hij kind verongelukt weg thuis stond wach- schoolpoort: zoeken tragische beuren hand ‘feiten’ sfeer legitieme inzake opvang schoolpoort begeleiding huis ) We ‘institutionele’ vertrekken wenselijk legitiem gekoppeld ‘pre-institutionele’ juist ‘verantwoordelijkheidsgevoelige gelijkheidsdenkers’ snijdt hout Co- auteur onderscheid ‘omstandigheden’ ‘vrije keuze’ metafysische kwestie (volgens Cohen) kun- nen gaan zelfs aartsmoeilijke determinisme over: feite maatschap- pelijk Hun zekere zin even ‘institutioneel’ diegene bepleit Wel beklemtoont waarin beperkt nexus 2017/7|87 ‘gelijkheid-verantwoordelijkheid’ hét waarrond werk draait eenzijdig doorschiet wan- neer schrijft (letterlijk) verantwoordelijkheid’: name herverde- ling inkomens vermogens duikt ijkpunten 3 altijd focussen onder- scheid nooit 4 IDEALE THEORIE IN EEN NIET-IDEA- LE WERELD opletten concepten ‘ideale theorie’ toepassing niet-ideale waarschuwing aanwezig Mounk5 gevaren woordelijkheidsgevoelige sterker verf zetten ideale twijfel behoefte machtig legitimiteit ongelijk verdeelde rijkdom grondig praktijk vooral gericht afhankelijk overheid zichtbaar ‘last’ betekent collectivi- teit Niet blijft schot; obsessie (oneigenlijk gebruik voorzieningen waardoor ‘de last’ toeneemt) ertoe geleid voordelen verzekeringsmechanismen (hun effecten’) oog verloren Europese debat oplossingen eurozone stabiliseren botsen obses- sie 6 blijkt ander niveau ons land mogelijkheden pensioenvoorziening verbeteren stelselmatig opties aanvullingen verbetering natuurlijk feit dominante discours bekeken per- spectief Eerder bod brengen pleiten kritisch Universiteit Amsterdam 2017/7|88 Noten ‘Externe belangrijke stabiliteit dankzij werkloosheidsverzekerin- (wat mooie illustratie vind) E What Point Equality? Ethics Vol 109 No (Jan 1999) pp 287-337 3/ citeert uitvoerig Th mas Scanlon ter ondersteuning idee streven gemotiveerd (di- verse) reeks voelige beperkte greep (en Scanlons contractua- lisme) cruciaal weten samenwerking gelijk- principiële vormt (zie T M Difficulty Tolerance Essays Political Philosophy Cambridge University Press p 206) 4/ geïnspireerd interessante reactie Alexander Brown (A Egalitarianism Democratic Equality Ethical Perspectives: Journal Euro- pean Network 12 (2005) 293-339; zie 297) 5/ verwijzing Stuart White (pp 87-89 Mounks boek) 6/ Om Eurozone leidt risico intussen gedomineerd vrees toelaten klein moei- lijk agenda geraken; F Risk Reduction Sharing Moral Hazard: Vaccination Metaphor Intereco- nomics 52(3) 154-159 Harvard (VS) 2017 2017/7|89

European Commission Seminar


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2017-09-21_EC_Commission_Pension_Seminar

s Towards an equitable and sustainable pension system: Lessons from the Belgian case Frank Vandenbroucke University of Amsterdam Chair Academic Council on Pension Policy European Commission Seminar Brussels 21 September 2017 The paper that is presented describes ‘points system’ has been proposed by BelgianCommission for Reform 2020-2040 Intragenerational equity can be realised in a flexible transparent way through allocation points within cohort intergenerational distribution determined fixing value point newly retired sustainability parameter actual retirees links future pensions to average living standard population employment This implies credible promises made younger contributing generations To keep system economically we propose automatic adjustment mechanism which key role played career length implements Musgrave rule stating ratio over labour earnings net contributions should remain constant induces balanced burden demographic economic shocks different cohorts seen as risk sharing • First report: June 2014 Additional report flexibility part-time strenuous work www pensioen2040 belgie pension2040 belgique New Federal Government (Ch Michel): sept Statutory age: 67 2030 w r t specific advantages civil servants’ Creation ‘National Committee’ ‘Knowledge Centre’ ‘Academic Council’ 160 28 140 26 120 24 100 22 80 20 60 40 18 16 0 14 2015 2020 2025 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 Old age dependency EU Total Life expectancy at 65 12 10 8 6 4 2 2013 Impact (no change coverage benefit market ratio) forecast (incl interaction) with impact + Change ratios incl private ( ) 70 50 30 Benefit Pensions = managing uncertainty – integrating mechanisms Commission: indexing parameters systems longevity (e g requirements & retirement age) Options Pay-as-you-go budgetary equilibrium: ???????????????? ????????????????A P pension; B number retirees; A employed population; S wage; ???????? contribution rate Dependency ???????? ???????? ???????? Hence: ????????D π (gross) ???????? ???????? ???????? Therefore: ???????????????? ???????????????? − ???????????????? Risk sharing: (1 ????????) −???????? stabilise i e hence fix (1−????????)????????̅ ???????? ‘Musgrave ratio’ or equivalently fix: (1−????????) implies: ???????? DC DB compared does not per se determine selection unique policy What desirable level ????????? Normative views consumption versus leisure time life cycle… (D) exogenous: mediated behavioural changes ‘reference career’ rule’ must complemented socially optimal retirement: when increases Plausible principle: expected period (starting minimum retirement) fixed share adult => years gained divided proportionally working periods linked if successfully applied stabilisation D ‘working longer’ Differentiation according nature Changes expectancy: priority conditional behaviour new (old) affected Other (baby-boom structural rate…) both gross between old retirees: ‘sustainability coefficient’ introduces correction factor wage indexation equal reference replacement year activity (or change) Flexibility choice Longevity stratified: corrections anticipation/postponement basis rather than physical Technique: definition individual ‘normal retirement’: (individual) started (uniform) Window around retirement’ (simplified): ???????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????? ???????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????? ‘Conditional certainty’ citizen stabilize ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? (Musgrave rule) promise rates context collective response it Transparency justice (within generations): during Intergenerational (across Flexible ‘partial’ Family dimension splitting claims divorce) Strenuous jobs (number points) x (value point) (actuarial corrections) (indexation income growth) Number <= (contributory non-contributory elements are possible; jobs) Value ≈ f (average employed) Premised ‘standard worker’ career’; takes into account demography etc reference’ Positive / negative (career) given social stratification entry healthy Indexation (growth real incomes) coefficient Two objectives: Target pensioners/employed Stabilisation earned Postponing (flexibility but !) ‘Alternative’ funding (tax shift) Why funding? diversification Law Supplementary 2003 ‘Democratization’ supplementary Sector approach: SME Embedded dialogue Mobility Problem guaranteed minimal return Requires large consensus Based sense common purpose: defined ambition Ageing Report Economy 3/2015 Schokkaert Devolder Hindriks proposal reform Belgium Discussion Paper Series 17 03 Department Economics KULeuven February Réforme des légales: le système de à Regards Economiques numéro 130 Mars Het pensioen op punten: naar een nieuw sociaal contract tussen jongeren en ouderen Leuvense Economische Standpunten 2017/162 Faculteit Economie Bedrijfswetenschappen frankvandenbroucke uva nl

Expertmeeting Stichting De Verre Bergen


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Expertmeeting_De-Verre-Bergen_dienstencheques_19.9.2017

Maatschappelijke waardering voor laaggeschoolde arbeid via dienstencheques:
weerstanden en succesfactoren Expertmeeting Stichting De Verre Bergen Rotterdam 19 9 2017 Frank Vandenbroucke Universiteit van Amsterdam www frankvandenbroucke uva nl Structuur presentatie • Laaggeschoolde in Vlaanderen Nederland Dienstencheques – Probleemstelling: een ‘trilemma’? Kenmerken de Belgische ‘middenweg’ het trilemma Weerstanden beoordeling Nederland: werkzaamheid 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 25-54 55-64 Laaggeschoold Laaggeschool Bijdrage dienstencheques werkgelegenheid België (op basis scholingsniveau) Bron: CRB ‘Trilemma’ diensteneconomie Dienstencheques: goede middenweg? Succesfactoren waren ook redenen weerstand… Voor iedereen toegankelijk Forse subsidiëring consumptie Brede tewerkstellingskansen Fatsoenlijke jobs met (aangepast) arbeidscontract Driehoekmodel: gebruiker werknemer erkende werkgever (trilateraal model; risicopooling; competitie) Schaal experiment Trilateraal versus bilateraal model The bil ateral 1relati onship (or L”d irect e’mployment” relation)1:households as direct employers Provider = Empfoyee ————– Employe r User Service re:lationshfp labour contract tnianc;ular relationsh1ip:Employment ii1n service pro viders orca1nisatiio’ns {Em ployee) l abour Providing organisation (Employer) Commefcial relationships Client/User Farvaque Modellen Europa Landen voornamelijk trilateraal gemengd systeem AU DE NL SP IT HU BE DK FI SE UK Fr (70%) Hoog aandeel zwartwerk Kwaliteit dienstenchequejobs Stijging gemiddeld uurloon: algemeen gekend brutoloon (gemiddeld 10 82 euro 2012) Meer contracten onbepaalde duur: meer dan 47% tegenover 2007 Grote flexibiliteit keuze uren uurregeling Groot deeltijds werkenden: 65% kleine deeltijdse baan; 25% grote voltijdsen (2012) Groter voltijds werkenden OCMW’s (19%) laagste uitzendsector (4%) Opleiding pijnpunt positieve evoluties Jan 2004 Mei Sep 2005 2006 mei/13 sep/13 jan/14 => ‘Afplatting’ driehoeksverhouding (Defourny et al ) Verdringing? Aandeel vrouwen (25-64) zorgjobs (isco 513) schoonmaakjobs 913) % alle 7% 6% 5% 4% zorg (513) schoonmaak (913) 3% 2% 1% Bijkomende succesfactor: belang ‘schaal’ Positieve effecten competitiemodel vereisen zekere schaal Om terugverdieneffecten te laten renderen moet overheid die ‘wint’ deze overdragen naar subsidieert Algemene beoordeling: middenweg ‘trilemma’ Tewerkstelling (1): aanzienlijke bijdrage aan tewerkstelling kwetsbare groepen kansen Inkomensgelijkheid (2) minimale loon- arbeidsomstandigheden Volwaardige sociale bescherming Driehoeksverhouding wisselende kwaliteit Beheersing overheidsuitgaven (3) Toenemende overheidskost – onder druk Vernauwing financiële marges ondernemingen Opsplitsing bij regionalisering Ondersteunen belangrijke maatschappelijke doelstellingen Combinatie werk gezin Verhoging welzijn dankzij huishoudelijke hulp Aandacht branchevervanging thuiszorg Bronnen (1) Jaarlijkse verslagen IDEA Consult F vraagstuk erkenning S&D Jaargang 72 nummer 1 Februari 2015 pp 32-41 + statistische bijlage op website Liat Raz-Yurovich and Ive Marx What does state-subsidized outsourcing of domestic work do for women’s employment? Belgian voucher scheme Journal European Social Policy https://doi org/10 1177/09589287177091 Defourny J Arnaud H Nassaut S Nyssens M (2009) Les titres- services: quelle qualité d’emploi d’organisation du service? Regards Économiques 69 (avril 2009) 1-16 N (2013) Developing personal household services the EU A focus on housework activities Report DG Employment Affairs Inclusion Bijlagen Technisch verslag secretariaat over maximale beschikbare loonkostenontwikkeling Nr 2013- 0398 FOD WASO Opleidingsfonds Evaluatierapport 2011- Iversen T Wren (1998) Equality employment budgetary restraint: economy World Politics 50 (4) 507-546 Pacolet Wispelaere Coninck (2011) dienstencheque Tot uw dienst ten dienste zorg? Leuven: Steunpunt Welzijn Volksgezondheid Gezin Sansoni Limits potential use vouchers An evaluation titres-services Belgium CESU France ETUI Working Paper 06 Termote Martin Th (2008) dienstenchequejobs: springplank valstrik mensen armoede bestaansonzekerheid? Over Werk Tijdschrift WSE 90-96 Publicaties

The EU’s social dimension: comments on the Reflection Paper and the European Pillar of Social Rights

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2017-09-11_EESC_hearing_Brussels_Vandenbroucke

The EU’s social dimension: comments on the Reflection Paper and European Pillar of Social Rights Contribution by Frank Vandenbroucke to EESC hearing “The impact dimension future EU” Brussels 11 September 2017 Background paper: Structural convergence versus systems competition: limits diversity labour market policies in Economic Monetary Union ECFIN discussion paper 065 • Both Single Market EMU need a function well But what is ‘needed’ also depends fundamental aspirations that drive project at large (The policy debate not exhausted we may consider as logical corollaries monetary unification integration ) One should carefully distinguish between (i) ‘social corollary’ (ii) Market; they partly overlap but are different Dimension Europe April insufficiently clear about this an important initiative which has inform operational agenda applying legislative instruments coordination financial 1) In 1990s reform markets was justified advent EES emphasized supply-side flexibility ‘enabling’ activation Today broader approach : requires consensus institutions support ‘symmetry’ ‘stability’ Therefore collective action ‘protective’ order Enabling protective can be mutually reinforcing creating resilient 2) Symmetry: member states deliver wage coordination; excludes totally decentralised uncoordinated bargaining Institutions monitor competitiveness embedded dialogue distributive concerns mainstreamed monitoring Mainstreaming into makes ‘assignment’ for national partners complex challenging such encompassing stand better chance achieve legitimacy 3) Stability: effective stabilisation capacity need: sufficiently generous unemployment benefits notably short-term; sufficient coverage rates benefit schemes; no segmentation leaves part force poorly insured against unemployment; proliferation employment relations integrated insurance; unemployed individuals; constitution budgetary buffers good times so automatic stabilisers do their work bad (These principles become fortiori imperative if Eurozone would equipped with reinsurance insurance 4) addition calls competitive goods services cross-border mobility This turn entails corollary Next regulation posting minimum regimes transparent predictable universal reinforces case total decentralisation sustain each state These (4) = Within many trend towards more inequality ‘homespun’ rather than inevitable result globalisation or europeanisation EU must ‘holding environment’ welfare enabling them address inequalities (‘European Union’) terms political communication speak both mobile non-mobile citizens create constituencies (e g world education) Robust defense idea needs non- discriminatory free movement workers matter fairness Reform Posted Workers Directive Improvements Migration creates less pressure adequately regulated markets: hence importance access security all cf next slide Practical II: Upward standards & performance Rights: made (legislative instruments) Priority areas successful migrant workers: – Access protection Quality Universality features supporting needed view eventual organization re-insurance scheme (‘vaccination metaphor’) [Wage Eurozone: it ‘symmetrical’ linked ‘national conversations’ functional distribution incomes?] Revisit 2013 Investment Package Enhance investment human capital (child care Semester (CSR’s) leeway implement CSR’s fiscal surveillance On convergence: Commission Directorate-General Financial Affairs 20 July (http://ssrn com/abstract=3011847) agenda: Fernandes Making reality Notre Jacques Delors Institute Tribune – Viewpoint Paris 31 May (http://www institutdelors eu/media/socialeurope- fernandesvandenbroucke-may2017 pdf?pdf=ok) non-discrimination: Basic income Union: conundrum solution ACCESS EUROPE Research 2017/02 01 August com/abstract=3008621) www frankvandenbroucke uva nl

Session VII: Is there much that Europe can do in a world of widening inequalities and strong migratory pressures?


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2017-09-8-9_Eliamep_2017_Athens_Session-VII_Contribution_Vandenbroucke

Session VII: Is there much that Europe can do in a world of widening inequalities and strong migratory pressures? Contribution by Frank Vandenbroucke University Amsterdam Eliamep Seminar 8-9 September 2017 • Inequality pressure: two different issues is often homespun, rather than the result globalisation or europeanisation EU must be ‘holding environment’ for national welfare states, enabling them to address (‘European Social Union’) In terms political communication, EU’s social dimension speak both mobile non-mobile citizens, create constituencies (e.g. education) Robust defense idea needs non- discriminatory free movement workers posting, as matter fairness Reform Posted Workers Directive Improvements citizens Migration creates less pressure adequately regulated labour markets: hence, importance collective bargaining dialogue, access security all workers, cf. next slide The European Pillar Rights: important initiative, but made operational (legislative, financial & policy coordination instruments) Priority areas stabilisation capacity states successful integration migrant workers: – Access protection Quality unemployment insurance activation Universality minimum wage regimes Upward convergence features supporting fortiori needed with view eventual organization Eurozone re-insurance scheme (‘vaccination metaphor’). [Wage Eurozone: it ‘symmetrical’ linked ‘national conversations’ on functional distribution incomes?] Revisit 2013 Investment Package Enhance investment human capital (child care, Semester (CSR’s), budgetary leeway implement such CSR’s fiscal surveillance member states. Summary statement: Fernandes Vandenbroucke, Making reality Notre Jacques Delors Institute, Tribune – Viewpoint, Paris, 31 May (http://www.institutdelors.eu/media/socialeurope- fernandesvandenbroucke-may2017.pdf?pdf=ok) non-discrimination: Basic income Union: conundrum solution, ACCESS EUROPE Research Paper 2017/02, 01 August (http://ssrn.com/abstract=3008621) On need convergence: Structural versus systems competition: limits diversity market policies Economic Monetary Union, ECFIN discussion paper 065, Commission Directorate-General Financial Affairs, Brussels, 20 July (http://ssrn.com/abstract=3011847) www.frankvandenbroucke.uva.nl

Sustainable pension reform on the basis of intergenerational equity: a proposal


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2017-07-11-12_Presentation-Barcelona-Conference-on-Ageing-and-Distributive-Justice

Sustainable pension reform on the basis of intergenerational equity: a proposal’ Frank Vandenbroucke University Amsterdam Conference Ageing and Distributive Justice Barcelona 11-12 July • The Belgian Commission Pension Reform Working Group Report 2015 Intergenerational intragenerational justice: role pensions (Schokkaert) risk sharing: proposal 2020-2040 First report: June 2014 Additional report flexibility part-time strenuous work www pensioen2040 belgie be pension2040 belgique New Federal Government (Ch Michel): Sept Statutory age: 67 by 2030 w r t specific advantages in civil servants’ system Creation ‘National Committee’ ‘Knowledge Centre’ ‘Academic Council’ 160 28 140 26 120 24 100 22 80 20 60 40 18 16 0 14 2020 2025 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 Old age dependency ratio EU Total economic Life expectancy at 65 1950 1953 1956 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 2022 2028 2031 2034 2037 2043 2046 2049 2052 2058 001 000 Belgium with constant life 12 10 8 6 4 2 Impact (no change coverage benefit labour market ratio) actual forecast (incl interaction) impact + Change ratios incl private ( ) 70 50 30 Benefit Structure presentation (based E Schokkaert) Source: Erik Schokkaert seminar ‘Justice between groups’ UCL individuals No problem are free (and remain responsible) to allocate their (equal) endowments over life-cycle Private schemes: funded defined contribution Minimum provided government: mild paternalism rider argument Overlapping (ex ante) equally endowed cohorts Pay-as-you-go system: possibility sharing Mixed (partial funding) preferable Insurance is efficient but may ex post look like redistribution a) Maximin “life-cycle endowment”: relevance minimum b) Should public restricted providing minimum? Arguments favour Bismarckian (“earnings- related”) features: – risk-sharing Minimize distortions Political support for c) Importance non-contributory rights (periods care involuntary unemployment) d) differences expectancy: uniform annuities impose ante-solidarity groups lower from lower-income men higher- income women genetic e) respect working conditions Maximise endowment least well-off cohort so that this can maximise its members: through mix pay-as-you/funding Musgrave criterion as reference point priority pension; negative shock will lead some compression structure earnings-related “just” retirement taking into account Pensions = managing uncertainty integrating adjustment mechanisms Commission: indexing parameters systems longevity (e g career requirements & age) Options ‘Conditional certainty’ individual citizen Stabilize ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? (Musgrave Rule) Conditional collective behaviour given macro demographic context choice (number points) x (value point) (actuarial corrections) (indexation growth) Number points <= career: justice Value ≈ f (average employed) Premised desirable sustainable replacement rate ‘standard worker’ ‘normal career’; career’ takes changes demography etc Flexibility: positive / corrections (career) social stratification entry healthy years Positive Indexation (growth real incomes) sustainability coefficient Two objectives Report: Target stabilisation pensioners/employed Stabilisation rates earned average Postponing ‘Alternative’ funding (tax shift) Differentiation according nature shocks (paper Devolder Hindriks Vandenbroucke) Changes longevity: conditional new retirees should not affected Other (baby-boom structural employment rate…) => (gross) (sustainability coefficient) Implementing à la ‘Musgrave rule’ implies further normative questions (relative level pensions/wages): what optimal allocation consumption cycle? Absolute wages &pensions (given productivity): leisure whole life? Resources Towards an equitable A Discussion Paper 2017 European Economy 3/2015 rule: Myles ‘A Contract Elderly’ Esping-Andersen Why we need Welfare State OUP 2002

Basic income in the European Union: a conundrum rather than a solution

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The Amsterdam Centre for Contemporary European StudieS SSRN Research Paper 2017/02 Basic income in the Union: a conundrum rather than solution Frank Vandenbroucke ACCESS EUROPE This work is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4 0 International License © 2017 University Professor of www frankvandenbroucke uva nl accessseurope org Abstract In Income A Radical Proposal Free Society and Sane Economy Philippe Van Parijs Yannick Vanderborght table two arguments that focus explicitly on Union Their first argument concerns strategies to introduce basic at national level: VP&V argue there tension between principle free movement; cope with threat selective immigration sustainability imposes ‘firm limits hospitality’ second introduction pan-European income: contend best answer social challenges created by integration this paper I develop three claims My claim are unclear about consequences movement: renders their case ambiguous regard core feature EU National seems incompatible consistent legitimate logic movement non-discrimination; support sketch normative framework non-discrimination VP&V’s If it true EU’s principal justice-related problem has diminished capabilities welfare states such as redistribution stabilization without adequately ensuring functioning higher level remedies essentially different from third both starting point compelling: we all benefit common inheritance which none us did anything However more needed why should be priority amidst competing ‘gift’ constituted past technological economic progress fact need add dimension project militates against favour or Keywords Social Justice Freedom Movement Reciprocity Wage Subsidies Investment Acknowledgements thank Robert van der Veen Erik De Bom Toon Vandevelde exchanges subject; usual disclaimers apply 1. Introduction overview new wide-ranging book (Basic Economy) (EU) (VP&V remainder paper) separate individual member (or Eurozone) our agenda Throughout will use ‘national income’ short-cut strategies; ‘pan-European short pursued simultaneously How does dual strategy relate well-known debates integration? developed (‘benefit tourism’) “firm hospitality” (VP&V: 222) Selective emigration citizens high earnings potential also discouraged solve problems pressure weighing systems consequence single market viability Eurozone large would contribute “saving extinction so-called model” 231) whilst bolstering future Admittedly lack clarity an not indictment per se Moreover constitutive make sacrosanct: needs justification if take seriously crux equality access employment opportunities just happy few Such egalitarian cannot mitigated nuanced: apart transitory arrangements long run either applies everybody meaningful sense These features them depart defining anything; was given freely nature capital accumulation organization civility rules so on; hence question arises how distribute gift fairly alternative ways via think cheap) excellent education health care; wage subsidies people whose productivity rated low market… More these when compare policy options funded Section 2 briefly presents proposal Sections 3 discuss workers 5 assesses idea important 6 returns rationale views could used 7 concludes 2. nutshell propose universal (it paid every irrespective any other sources) unconditional depend present behavior would-be recipient; i e counterpart) Recipients must members particular territorially defined community interpretation means fiscal residence permanent citizenship excludes tourists travelers undocumented migrants diplomats employees supranational organizations subjected local personal tax 9) do posted workers:1 remains home country (rather they posted) entitled one where philosophical can summarized follows real freedom “very stuff justice consists distributing fairly” 104) Real only sheer right but genuine capacity whatever might wish Being imply aim equalize cost For inequalities regarded everyone: go greatest those least provides material basis exercise obligation-free because distributes gift: “What ensure everyone receives fair share what today (…) And pitched highest sustainable ensures who receive much durably feasible ” 105) offered particularly labour market: facilitates saying yes job offer generates modest finds rewarding; no lousy degrading “the joint operation features” turns into “a paramount instrument freedom” 16) Thus condition underscore following caveat: “Contrary way sometimes characterized chagrin among its advocates want sell radical simplification understood being definition full substitute existing transfers less public funding quality care services 12) What relevant income? To fix ideas suggest picking amount order one- fourth current GDP capita lower poverty threshold 1 ‘posted worker’ employee sent his employer carry out service another state temporary Posted mobile remain host temporarily integrate maintain contract (‘sending’) have latter equal treatment nationals working conditions suffices get household falls adequate system unemployment insurance provide full-time worker average salary loses With qualifications flavour realism weaken key “getting rid trap” 25): far assistance levels above inactivity traps continue exist albeit lower-level consequential budgetary feasibility relief objectives resources benefits totally ‘recycled’ income; pursue discussion here 200 euro month countries living 236); represents 5% Depending create transfer purchasing power richer poorer 3. cross-border mobility start premise international migration constitutes redistributive functions “[t]he open borders generous schemes conditional stem likely net beneficiaries 219) creates “cruel dilemma” committed affluent parts world torn generosity towards ‘own poor folks’ hospitality ‘strangers’ knocking door They recognize disturbing basic-income supporters “as appeal endears firm OECD (2017) simulates impact scheme non-elderly population UK France Italy Finland neutral (with itself taxed) effect shifts composition income-poor some moving line while others fall below Overall rates increase significantly extent little Obviously mechanical calculations account behavioral changes But conflict components handled [T]here absolute 221) mainly governed threatened From empirical view ‘welfare magnet’ hypothesis centrally disputable defense Boso Vancea (2012) validity tourism Howard (2006) nuanced assessment underscores political salience context (see footnote 3) As matter intra-European motivated differences non-active individuals Martinsen Rotger show vastly overstated Denmark archetypal universalistic relatively state: positive observations limited reality today’s Europe settle legal understanding non-discriminatory non-nationals accommodate pure ‘benefit tourism’: Member States refuse subsistence upon arrival Danish illustrates implement exclusionary principles very effective restrictive sense: restricting Germany traditionally seen ‘insurance state’ (Martinsen Werner 2018 forthcoming) Yet like supports refused non-nationals: reason reject ‘soft’ waiting periods restriction rejection premised recognition may dilemma liberal egalitarians migrate example already 1992 (1992: 162) wrote: “There survive old sick lazy came running advantage been discussed addressed Jordan (2007) actual pull-effect expect makes expected saliency migrants’ welfare; he therefore mix fight entitlements restrictions find ‘middle way’ applied within same encountered advocated (who moreover income) survey factors affecting intra-EU adds lot nuance see Commission (2016) period requirement always unacceptable discrimination kind benefit; contradiction fundamental “it involve major distortion end able turn down jobs thanks entitlement forced accept bargaining confers” 223) categorically “two categories residents” conclude logically: “Once place hand 223-224) Hence ‘harder’ necessary avoids dissociating Having said silent comprise silence happenstance: limiting markets indicated section ‘fiscal residence’ constitute generic set ‘selective migration’ feared VP&V: normally residents regular profile (posting exception based country) Would bury return old-style policies regulated governments ‘economic needs’? hardly plausible goes grain citizenship; huge ‘real freedom’ Europeans having ample cross purpose finding interesting hard come up concrete ‘exclusionary strategy’ pass test understand establish balance creating (due attractiveness beneficiaries) unattractiveness contributors capacity) Apart promotion patriotic ethic practical suggestions operational proposals tackle emigration; suggestion individual’s emigrate conditioned paying back investment human made : highly-educated pay economically unsuccessful highly-skilled improve situation So left conundrum: signaled clear say Whilst active generate In-work development low-wage sector earn decent net-income top-up purse An State pursues attract disproportionate less-developed offers net-incomes low-skilled supply-effect: boosts low- skilled infamous now defunct Brexit-deal negotiated former British Prime Minister David Cameron one: theoretically conceivable boosting in-work attracts puts pursuing Whether empirically moot nuances whether government – perceived allow discriminate confronted type challenge difference: redistribute incomes call notion reciprocity: effort productively even value contribution low: ‘earn’ Although backlash immigrants benefiting domestic opinion ready ‘earned’ migrant participation Public acceptance become stronger strictly proportional hourly subsidy; elaborate non- ‘earned citizenship’ perspective EU: (2018 significant number Germany; terms numbers percentage indeed simply assume stand chance publicly accepted 4. Can ‘nuanced’? defender root nexus nationality foundational independent justify clarify issues distinguish questions: 1) movement? 2) move? difference application (1) (2) citizenship? 4.1. Why citizens? previous debate It obviously enlargement regime (but workers) agreed limitations transitional corollary goods refers associated posting (which delivery) regimes each well-balanced whole Posting7 controversial issue widespread feelings difficult control disruptive phenomena dumping sectors drawbacks taken notoriously thought transition See heart reform 8 Notwithstanding dispense regime: integrated requires short-term projects employed affiliated security receiving Simultaneously seeking contracts explained highly stylized theoretical counterfactual B socially Imagine construct (say specific certain g possible mean activity (in implies guarantees safeguard practices dumping; contrast sending allows deviations prevailing B; Limiting implies) allowing unfair since impossible imbalance enhance dynamic dumping: ‘non-dumping’ option prefer (compared ‘posting’ option) unavailable yet words well-delineated refer sees (This distinct traditional enhances efficiency allocation ) specification: recognized Commission; put forward Commissioner Thyssen step respect Commission’s Press Release March 2016 (http://europa eu/rapid/press-release_IP-16-466_en htm) led resistance leading ‘yellow card’ procedure At moment writing settled my most robust opportunity larger sets 9 One note position worst-off 10 status conception comparable Rawls’ ‘fair opportunity’ ‘difference principle’: Rawls positions offices) respected limit scope 11 conceived trade-off envisaged (between formal European-wide ‘maximization continuum possibilities; possibilities ‘equal opportunities’ across There congeniality formulate de Witte’s ‘transnational solidarity’: good life beyond nation (de Witte 2015) people’s notably reference ‘the life’ tries interpret backdrop communitarian philosophers fail term (for instance liberalism) sufficient plurality conceptions admit available realize (quantitatively) moves Romania Netherlands excluded Romania; Rawlsian enlarging choice migrating increases primary (unchanged) framing constraints thus deficit liberalism ‘exit options’ obtain societies heterogeneous availability similarly body text enlarged formally (i necessarily sense) private communication points liberal-communitarian wants emphasize importance self-realization motives (a ‘qualitative’ ‘quantitative’ satisfaction lives): exit ‘breaks hold cultural societal patterns over individual’s herself her ’ further elaboration et al don’t reformulation affects critical comment space forbids priori exclude ceteris paribus negative outflows reduces worst- off matter: crucial factor comparison inspired Boer (2013) endorses postponing during period): high-skilled kinds misunderstood: I’m arguing focusing occupations following: imagine ‘in between’ contradict 4.2. Non-discrimination denying often grounds efficient production) defended discriminatory tabled addition promoted incorporated solidarity circle she works Without broadly cosmopolitan theories justice) union Polish enjoys rights Belgian Belgium justifies contributions revenue sustains tolerate competition taxation territory: recipe establishes reciprocity guarantee States; including protects circles own territory 12 Milanovic (2016:154) argues global currently exists legally mild foreign labour” better “keep flow fiction facto differential ‘illegals’” purchase mature grant cash services; exerted services? Access successful Differential severe tensions aspire counterproductive longer segmented underclass housing kids 4.3. Earned coexistence (Kramer me expression) That evolved: dominated progressively expanding followed law became increasingly restrictive; degree continuity Historically inherent bounded reconciled granting move (and dependents) exclusion inactive establishing coordination 13 simple dichotomy tenable were granted Elaborating Sangiovanni convincingly wrongfully demeans stigmatizing general moral non-EU (2016: 15) mentions “demands cooperating maintaining reproducing EU” His reciprocity-argument scenario Britons denied simplify exposition sentence abstraction reasons study throughout unreasonable burden State” 14 2014 Dano- judgment Court stresses possibility refusing solely State’s assistance” 15 Kramer sketches combination change evolution situates broader “neoliberal communitarianism” “combines neo-liberal emphasis responsibility achieve membership community” 2016: 277): labels ‘neo-liberal’ becomes expressed form ‘earning’ convert values” dangers traits language risks pushed confines similar vein Verschueren (2015) warns viz-à-viz vulnerable leeway Dano interpreted Thym uncertainty taking board cautionary notes reading oblige comprehensive minimum protection avoided carefully delineated domains compassion dominate (such assistance) duty protect vulnerability ‘European Union’ complementary logics legitimately conjointly: Economically Art Directive 2004/38/EC C-333/13 C: 2014:2358 para 78 added involuntary (unemployment illness) regulations fairness fully serves cohesion citizen rely her) choice: determines foremost responsible Under bond allowed citizen’s ‘unreasonable burden’ (these substantiate absence link exercised state’s ‘unreasonable’ causes dependence setting boundaries complex task raises many questions as: grants range non-nationals? exact role played criteria ‘integration country’ link’ country? Which facilitating job-search restricted nationals)? demand judiciously Also next act constraint importantly lead ‘enter your risk’ (whereby tolerated protection) precariousness marginalization concern articulated illustrated subject Heindlmaier Blauberger avoid misunderstanding am implying complimentary consistently: mobility’ non-mobile complexities illegitimate regulating expedient popular defensible sits uneasily purposes (basic) active: identical ‘no asked’ Reconciling giving ‘reciprocity’ firmly emigrating explains fit conclusion famous concept ‘embedded liberalism’ signals openness’: openness regional communities politically 5. Pan-European appropriate predicament? “can tread several paths simultaneously” 244): steps complementarity (the project: earlier (Van expanded Viehoff (Viehoff) considers answer: maintenance wages then Viehoff’s wages; 5.1. built-in automatic stabilizers smooth cyclical shocks: progressive character play currency areas United Monetary lacks central (though unanimous) agreement experts Different formulated Unemployment Benefit Scheme re-insurance 16 Viehoff) First stabilizer replacement kicks lose hit stabilization: steady stream loss one’s compensated Therefore compared sub-optimal main precisely VP&V) sobering argument: upward adjustment parities) qua too economies shock Even (adjusted downward standards) although marginal macro-economic features: kick it’s relation operate re-insurance; Beblavy literature assess stabilize diverse exactly opposite additional remark proposed Viehoff): opt VAT scale criticism useful observation institutions versus linear related consumption expenditure reduce crisis (Keynesian) declines (basic directly mitigates hitting react non-linear shocks complexity sensitivity linked observation: “Personal taxes means-tested prerogative” 2015: 239) flip side interwoven prerogative equipped device (i) (ii) provided intergovernmental ‘re- insurance’ agreement: interstate direct links fund operates purely designed beneficiary 2015); objection “richer beneficiaries” “plant seed conflict” 234) surprising plea minor stabilizing impact; cooperative mutual 17 5.2. subsection draw congenial answered respective merits 18 contends “does indirectly introducing regimes: after reserve price cheap (Viehoff 19) VP&P disputable: suggests relationship ‘reservation wage’ complicated standard analysis reservation lowest rate willing determinant combined earning simplified representation discarding variables influencing search weekly decision reduction clear-cut presentation sure called ‘income effect’ supply function worker: worker’s result forces exploration Rogers forum topic reaction (2014) explores references Juliana Bidadanure drawing attention Rogers’ ‘floor’ universally accessible X unemployed (sticking problem); ask extra offer) fraction work’ bottom ‘No society review refuses attached he/she like) extreme examples Let suppose sake corresponds ‘subsistence level’: pays hour accepting hours (let’s unemployment’ calculated 40 minus worked basis) choose behavioural scenario? monthly prefers job’ option’ still losing floor hour: depending hypotheses here: essence qualified ‘work conditionality’ takes jobs; generated variant consist implementing employers presented floor; however practice well-organized floors wages) earned before lost (hence skill level); surpass disadvantage trap: gain trap hand: work-conditionality defenders fundamentally strengthens affirm favourable incentives matter) Next emphasizing ‘superiority’ incentive effects 19 disincentives one-sided this: historically explicit aims Returning discussion: believes ‘social ‘ readiness badly uniform According activation “get traps” “Being help ‘de- commodify’ labour; helps ‘commodify’ otherwise 27) stressed 6) prevent happening considered Job supported conditionality force Decent country-specific: foregoing holds fortiori 20 Worse someone Given probability actions are: improving generalizing reforming 21 5.3. “[c]ross-border generally plausibly excessive organizing 22 low-income high-income countries? shows (low systems) overall according Eurostat Bulgaria (235 euro) (318 Latvia Lithuania (both 380 (data 2017S2 accessed July 2017) pull push explaining predict relative reorientation disincentive se? Since supplement packages contributing pan- motivate somewhat reduced Differences affected orientation migration) established research: 23 upshot (selective) prospects transferring money 6. distribution all’; ‘maximin’ ‘gifts’ (by freedom) sophisticated various publications 1995 All: (If Anything) Justify Capitalism? promises non-partisan synthesis unsatisfactory counts weakness NAFTA (2007: 17) decreasing regions: give poorest Both weaknesses reflect alternatives 6.1. kind? confined healthcare child elderly care… flourishing distributed unconditionally (without allocated substratum delivered cash’ kind’? adamant “quality services” decide hand? mentioned cursory hint gets “[I]t allocate part heavily subsidized provision healthy enjoyable environment total shared components? neat experiment rough guidelines: Suppose had nothing knew expectancy spread lifetimes earmarked expenditures?” passage reveals hypothetical behind veil ignorance inequality handicaps remedying Education intellectual physical autonomy bound increase: persistent medical science technology necessitates foreseeable objective 24 keep affordable perfectly increasing GDP) spent health; rationally attach early childhood large) message Esping- Andersen’s state? (2002) meanwhile investment’ Hemerijck recent survey) income25 implicit expansion states: unwarranted reversed: inherit capacitating future? Arguably quantity (think housing) socialization children) success valorization par excellence 6.2. subsidies? 44-45) remarks Edmund Phelps Phelps’ dismiss contradicts neutrality life; Taking slightly (2004) thorough instruments advantaged maximized metric income-leisure years (Hall Jones 2007; Murphy Topel 2006) Increasing spending well source facing 25 knowledge mostly forms ‘basic kind’ White (2010) discusses ‘Basic Capital’ young adult idea) light White’s address priorities proponents investment; subsidization (any trade-off: sacrifice leisure) taxing enlarge adding information happens 26 model match measure ‘effort’; subsidy received held worked) compensates array besides maximizing unique unambiguously ‘optimal’ guided supplementary compatible actually select zero endorsing ‘egalitarian reciprocity’: “entitlements cooperation confers maximin willingness productive ”(van 2004 p 162-163) 27 thesis dispensing uniquely justified ideal incorporates considerations Contra emerges strongly brief asserts breach elaborates optimal (2001) 1997 1999; discussions (2003) finally indicates reciprocity-objective decisive subsequently conclusions invoking propensity invest skills safety nets He preferred typically asked whereby mitigated) normatively subsidies) typical baseline fulfilled conjunction assumptions lifetime participants contemporary unnecessarily curtailed instead mind (van 2004: 180) 28 OECD’s simulations revenues (OECD 2017: refinement argument) ‘effort’ differentiates Before caveats noted evolutions rise types atypical harder ‘working time’ derives plausibility tie social-protection impossible: applicability fine-grained activities Veen’s company issue: sources secure captures unequal Parijs’ point) sharing yield include work- component rule largest 2011) 29 coupling caveat wages: compensate freed respecting amounts and/or deliberation EU-wide playing field obliging bear costs (if extent; due exceptions engaged protected employment) pressures caused automation outsourcing combinations benefits) toolkit’30 ‘Earned Tax Credit’: Credit tied 31 legitimacy calls toolkit 32 ‘service vouchers’ sectoral implementation hours’ unproblematic metric: cleaning Yurovich Marx 30 borrow expression Anderson (2008) (40-43) EITC; EITC minimum- suboptimal condemn stand-alone “doing jobless” “only boon employers” (quoting approvingly Andy Stern “If jobs”) 42) cf Kenworthy democratic America’ emphasises sufficiently low-productive therein 7. Conclusion: Is EU? sketched distinguishes assigns broad notions inner risks; nor consistently reconciling require seemingly ‘liberal’ (real all) ends unlimited sustainable; embedded unconvincing Nonetheless demographic ageing scientific impacts domain aspiration ‘Union Welfare States’ reconciles Finally improved research (e doubtful easily outperform Reference List E Expanding toolbox: Equality bureaucracy Aristotelian Supplementary Volume 82 1: 139-160 M Marconi G Maselli ahead CEPS Special Report 119 Immigrants? Pull Effect Benefits Migration Studies 7(1): 1-24 N Fundamental internal Just treaty freedoms? enquiry John Rawls’ philosophy Utrecht Law Review January 2013 Vol 9(1) pp 148-168 F Emergence Transnational Solidarity Oxford: Oxford Bauböck R Shaw J attack: worth defending EUI Working RSCAS 2016/69 Esping-Andersen (ed New Employment Developments 2015 Brussels: Hall C Quarterly Journal Economics 112: 39-72 Enter risk: West Politics DOI: 1080/01402382 1294383 Uses W Dividend: Guaranteed Minimum North America 2(1): 1-23 Policy: Moral Dilemma? 1(1): 1-22 Economic Integration 2(2): 1-13 L Democratic D Earning Citizenship Assistance Reconstructed Cambridge Yearbook Legal 270-301 S P tax- financed testing e-pub No magnets Policy Global Inequality Mass Belknap Pres Harvard K longevity Political 114: 871-904 Option: up? 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Applied doi: 1111/japp 12129 Biographical Notes studied economics Leuven Phil Security Health Insurance Pensions Federal Government (1999-2004) Flemish Regional (2004-2009) professor (KU Leuven) until October (UvA) teaches Antwerp (UA) chair “Herman Deleeck” focuses nl/publicaties Corresponding Author Contact Details Universiteit Spui 1012 WX Email: Vandenbroucke@uva